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COLOMBIA: Committee Says Further Adjustment Needed To Meet 2025 Fiscal Rule

COLOMBIA
  • CARF, the committee that oversees Colombia’s fiscal rule, said that its preliminary estimate of the 2024 fiscal position suggests that the government missed its deficit target by around COP 21tn ($5bn). Tax revenue through November was below projections in the mid-term fiscal plan, while central government primary expenditure last year was COP 313.7tn, above the projected COP 303.9tn.
  • CARF also said that government’s plan to reduce the budget by COP 12tn trillion in 2025 is insufficient to meet the fiscal rule this year. It said that the government requires an additional fiscal adjustment of around COP 40tn to comply with this year’s fiscal rule, due to possible overestimation of fiscal revenue projected in the 2025 budget.
  • Yesterday, Finance Minister Guevara said that the government would delay COP 12bn (0.7% of GDP) of spending from this year’s budget as he acknowledged that there is no room for discussion of another tax bill in Congress to cover the budget shortfall. The proposal to delay spending will be published in the coming weeks, he said.
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  • CARF, the committee that oversees Colombia’s fiscal rule, said that its preliminary estimate of the 2024 fiscal position suggests that the government missed its deficit target by around COP 21tn ($5bn). Tax revenue through November was below projections in the mid-term fiscal plan, while central government primary expenditure last year was COP 313.7tn, above the projected COP 303.9tn.
  • CARF also said that government’s plan to reduce the budget by COP 12tn trillion in 2025 is insufficient to meet the fiscal rule this year. It said that the government requires an additional fiscal adjustment of around COP 40tn to comply with this year’s fiscal rule, due to possible overestimation of fiscal revenue projected in the 2025 budget.
  • Yesterday, Finance Minister Guevara said that the government would delay COP 12bn (0.7% of GDP) of spending from this year’s budget as he acknowledged that there is no room for discussion of another tax bill in Congress to cover the budget shortfall. The proposal to delay spending will be published in the coming weeks, he said.