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Commodities Main Driver Of NZD Last Week

NZD

NZD/USD was marginally firmer over the past week, dealing in a ~2% range. The table below presents levels of correlations between NZD and key macro drivers (note the yield differential reflects swap rates).

  • Global commodity prices were the main driver for the NZD last week, a moderate widening in NZ US rate differentials couldn't lift the NZD late in the week.
  • Over the longer time frame, global commodities, milk futures and global equities are driving the NZD.
  • The correlations with rate differentials have weakened over the longer time frame.

Fig 1: NZD/USD Correlation with Global Macro Drivers:


Source: MNI/Bloomberg

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