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CPI in Focus as USD/RUB Rejects 75.00 Handle; Potential $ Upside Warranting Caution

RUSSIA


USD/RUB

  • USD/RUB opens lower after rejecting the 74.9224-75.0980 resistance band highlighted yesterday.
  • Focus today on CPI (1600GMT) where an upside print in headline at 4.9% YoY & core at 4.3% YoY is expected to reinforce CBR concerns about a spike in price pressures.
  • Most projections expecting CPI to peak around 5.3% in Feb, before easing into 2H22 - opening up scope for a final 25bp rate cut.
  • USD factors remain key price action driver for brent & RUB, with risks of a firmer USD over the coming weeks likely to keep EM FX choppy.
  • Sup1:74.1755, Sup2: 73.9016, Res1: 74.5208, Res2: 74.9224-75.098 resistance band
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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