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Crude and Spreads Ease Off From Earlier Highs

OIL

Crude futures are drifting off from earlier gains as curve backwardation has strengthened following the 1mbpd Saudi Arabia voluntary production cut in July, and possible extension beyond, and adjusted OPEC+ quotas for next year.

  • Time spreads are also easing back from the highs of the day after the prompt regained most of the losses form last week and Dec23-Dec24 traded at the highest since late April. The spreads are still well below the levels seen after the voluntary OPEC cuts announced at the start of April.
  • Stronger than expected Caixin PMI data from China is also providing some optimism for China’s oil demand.
  • Next technical resistance for Brent is at the intraday high of 78.73$/bbl and WTI at the intraday high of 75.06$/bbl.
    • Brent AUG 23 up 1.7% at 77.41$/bbl
    • WTI JUL 23 up 1.8% at 73.02$/bbl
    • WTI-Brent down -0.02$/bbl at -4.31$/bbl
    • Brent AUG 23-SEP 23 up 0.04$/bbl at 0.2$/bbl
    • Brent DEC 23-DEC 24 up 0.38$/bbl at 3.57$/bbl
    • WTI JUL 23-AUG 23 up 0.01$/bbl at -0.09$/bbl
    • WTI DEC 23-DEC 24 up 0.33$/bbl at 3.85$/bbl


Source: Bloomberg

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