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CZKPLN Testing 138.2% Fibo Resistance

CEE FX
  • The uncertainty over the policy outlook in addition to a range of risk factors (on going dispute with the EU, FX loan settlements, rising LT bond yields…) have been weighing on PLN, which is currently at an all-time low against the CZK.
  • Even though the NBP has surprise the market with aggressive hikes in its last two meetings, Governor Glapinski refused to comment if the NBP has embarked into a tightening cycle.
  • CZKPLN recently broke above its 0.1834 resistance (December 2011) and is currently testing the 0.1850 level, which represents the 138.2% Fibo projection of the 0.1634 – 0.1790 range.
  • Next key level to watch on the topside stands at 0.1868 (150% retracement), followed by 0.1880, which represents the high of its LT upward trending channel.
  • On the downside, first support stands at 0.1833, followed by 0.1827 (126.6% Fibo projection).

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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