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Dassault Results Disappointed; Credit Has Outperformed CapGem

TECHNOLOGY

Dassault Systeme (DSY FP) issued 4Q23 results today which disappointed on forward revenue guidance – the equity is one of the weakest performers in SXXP today but the cash curve is little changed and has still outperformed peers on a 3M view.


  • DSY results included revenue guidance for FY24 of 8-10% and, though consensus only implies 8.5% growth, the key “3DExperience” product saw sales slow to 21% in 4Q23 from 46% in the prior quarter. This has clearly unnerved the equity market.
  • From a credit perspective, the firm appears to have net cash at Dec-23 (from a tiny net debt of 11% of equity at Dec-22) but the credit has been rangebound since Oct-23. The graphic shows DSY’s benchmark ’26 bond (DSYFP 0 1/8 09/16/26). Over the same period, CapGemini’s credit has widened meaningfully, even though its equity is up nearly one third.

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