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Decent FX Options Activity This Week Favours EUR Upside Protection

OPTIONS

FX options turnover this week has been strong, with Monday unsurprisingly proving to be the busiest session of the week in terms of volumes. GBP vols continue to trade at a premium over other pairs, with the ever-present risk of a breakdown in Brexit negotiations clearly fuelling.

In contrast, front-end EUR/USD vols hit multi-month lows this week, rivalling the lowest levels seen since the beginning of the COVID crisis. The 1m contract captured the December 10th ECB rate decision this week, but the continued pressure on implied vols (in spite of uptick in realised) indicates that markets have bought into Lagarde's signal that the ECB are unlikely to move on rates, leaning more on PEPP and TLTRO tools.

EUR/USD options trade this week has favoured upside protection, with call notional topping that of puts since the Monday open. Trades this week saw sizeable interest in 1.20 and 1.1850 call strikes, although 1.18 puts also saw decent activity.


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