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Double Top Pattern Unfolds

EURO-YEN

EUR/JPY has faltered, completing a double top formation in the process (see attached chart). It last trades -35 pips at Y122.81, with JPY among the leaders of the G10 scoreboard, as familiar concerns have weighed on core equity markets. Broader caution has been partially inspired by a rapidly escalating surge in new coronavirus cases across Europe and resultant restrictions implemented by respective governments, which has been sapping strength from Europe's shared currency.

  • French President Macron is set to chair a meeting of a council of ministers before he announces new social distancing measures in a televised address today. BFM TV reported that the government could impose a month-long "flexible" lockdown as soon as on Thursday.
  • German Chancellor Merkel is also set to propose tightening restrictions during today's meeting with the 16 state premiers.
  • A breach of Sep 29 & Oct 2 lows/Oct 15 low of Y123.03/02 amounts to a formation of a double top pattern, signalling potential for a deeper sell-off. Bears look for a close below there to confirm the pattern, which would turn focus to Sep 28 low of Y122.38, acting as the next bear trigger. Bulls look for a rebound above the aforementioned Y123.02/03 levels before targeting Oct 23 & 26 highs of Y124.23.
  • French consumer confidence, Spanish retail sales and comments from ECB's de Cos take focus in the EZ today.


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