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DXY Testing 100 Resistance Amid Resurgence of Geopolitical Risks

FOREX
  • The renewed geopolitical tensions with Western allies preparing for new sanctions have been supporting the ‘safe-haven’ US Dollar.
  • While US LT bonds keep testing new lows amid surging inflation risks, demand for the US Dollar has been growing since the start of the month.
  • DXY index broke above its key resistance at 99.73 this week (which corresponds to the 76.4% Fibo retracement of the 89.21 – 102.98 range) and is currently testing the psychological 100 level.
  • A break above that level would open the door for a move up to 100.5560 ( (May 2020 highs).
  • The USD strength has been weighing on EM currencies this month.
  • To the exception of PHP and BRL (barely up against USD), all EM FX are down against the greenback.
    • HUF has been the worst performing currency among the EM world amid rising political uncertainty following Orban’s victory last week.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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