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EGBs-GILTS CASH CLOSE: Gilts Underperform, BTP-Bund Spread Slumps

BONDS
  • Long end Gilts once again stand out, with 10YY +23.6bps and 30YY +28.8bps partially tied impending end to BOE long gilt buy scheme on the 14th and extra GBP37bln of gilt issuance over 12 months due to the APF.
  • 30Y Gilt yields at 4.6655% saw a session high of 4.7294%, coming closer to a 76.4% retracement of the rally seen after the BoE gilts purchase plan was initially announced.
  • Further sizeable moves in EU FI, with the 10Y BTP-Bund spread recording its largest drop since June, coming from the pincer movement of BTPs rallying and Bunds selling off on a Bloomberg report that Germany will support joint EU debt if disbursed as loans to tackle the energy crisis.
  • It left BTPs -7.5bps on the day vs +14.3bps for Bunds, with the spread narrowing 22bps to 228bps with at one point a 30bp intraday narrowing, reversing much of last week's widening.

10Y BTP (white), Bund (yellow) and spread (green)Source: Bloomberg



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