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Needle Still Points South


Yields Bounce as Equities Make New Monthly Highs


Heading North


Bull Rally Accelerates


Economists Survey Raises 2021 CPI Forecast To 4.9%

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  • Most likely outcome: Liberal chance of winning a minority of seats steady at 56% according to CBC Poll Tracker
  • Conservatives chance of winning the most seats 28% vs prior 27%
  • Chance of a majority government 14% vs prior 16% for Liberals, down from 45% at start of campaign, and 1% for Conservatives
  • Conservative Leader Erin O'Toole may face questions about Alberta's Conservative Premier imposing tougher Covid regulations after cases spiked following a period of laxer restrictions
  • Newspapers still filled with report of fastest inflation since 2003; O'Toole has sought to blame rising housing costs on Trudeau
  • Some polls have shown that while Liberals about tied in national level polls, they have a decent lead in seat-rich Ontario
  • Outsized mail-in voting suggests some results may be delayed on election night, Sept 20