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SECURITY: Encouraging Signs Of Gaza Ceasefire Tempered By Elevated Iran Risk

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US Secretary of State Antony Blinken said there are “encouraging signs that Gaza ceasefire is possible,” after a meeting with Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan in Ankara, Turkey today.

  • Blinken added that he discussed with Fidan the role the US and Turkey will play in Syria’s future, noting “there’s broad agreement on what we would like to see in Syria," including, "the imperative of continuing efforts to keep ISIS down…”
  • The comments come as optimism for a Gaza ceasefire is at its highest level in months, although previous negotiations that have stalled during the final stages of talks have moderated that optimism.
  • The regional risk environment remains elevated with senior Israeli officials hinting at joint US-Israeli military action against Iran’s nuclear sector. The Biden administration reportedly warned Israel against hitting Iran’s nuclear facilities in October, however, a more hawkish outlook from the incoming Trump administration and Israeli air superiority following the collapse of the Assad regime in Syria may have given Israel greater scope for assertive action.
  • Former Israeli Defence Minister, Yoav Gallant, said after a meeting with US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin at the Pentagon yesterday that he “emphasized the significant, yet limited window of opportunity that we face in addressing Iran’s nuclear ambitions.”
  • The Wall Street Journal reportsthat US President-elect Donald Trump is “weighing the possibility of preventive airstrikes” against Iran’s nuclear sector, noting the move “would break with the longstanding policy of containing Tehran with diplomacy and sanctions.”   
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US Secretary of State Antony Blinken said there are “encouraging signs that Gaza ceasefire is possible,” after a meeting with Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan in Ankara, Turkey today.

  • Blinken added that he discussed with Fidan the role the US and Turkey will play in Syria’s future, noting “there’s broad agreement on what we would like to see in Syria," including, "the imperative of continuing efforts to keep ISIS down…”
  • The comments come as optimism for a Gaza ceasefire is at its highest level in months, although previous negotiations that have stalled during the final stages of talks have moderated that optimism.
  • The regional risk environment remains elevated with senior Israeli officials hinting at joint US-Israeli military action against Iran’s nuclear sector. The Biden administration reportedly warned Israel against hitting Iran’s nuclear facilities in October, however, a more hawkish outlook from the incoming Trump administration and Israeli air superiority following the collapse of the Assad regime in Syria may have given Israel greater scope for assertive action.
  • Former Israeli Defence Minister, Yoav Gallant, said after a meeting with US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin at the Pentagon yesterday that he “emphasized the significant, yet limited window of opportunity that we face in addressing Iran’s nuclear ambitions.”
  • The Wall Street Journal reportsthat US President-elect Donald Trump is “weighing the possibility of preventive airstrikes” against Iran’s nuclear sector, noting the move “would break with the longstanding policy of containing Tehran with diplomacy and sanctions.”