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Equities Buoyed By Falling Real Yields, Earnings Beats

US STOCKS
  • ESA briefly clears session highs, pushing through to 3918.75 (+1.8%) before nudging back to 3914, whilst Nasdaq marginally outperforms.
  • Earlier clearance of Monday’s high of 3899.0 next opens 3948.02 (50-day EMA) in pullback from the recent bearish theme.
  • The moves are supported by real yields sliding on the day (10Y -6bps) and improved consumer confidence, plus idiosyncratic factors from better than expected earnings from Nike and FedEx.
  • Within SPX, sizeable gains across all sectors but with energy (+2.2%: WTI +2.8%), consumer discretionary (+2.1%) and IT (+2.1%) outperforming whilst consumer staples lag (+1.0%).


S&P e-mini (yellow index) and US 10y real yield (white)Source: Bloomberg

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