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EURCZK Testing Key Support at 24.77

CZECHIA
  • We have seen in recent months that the aggressive tightening run by the CNB has been supporting the CZK against major crosses.
  • EURCZK is currently testing its key support at 24.77, which corresponds to the February 2020 low reached before the March panic. A break below that level would bring us to 2012 lows.
  • CZK is also the 'less risky' currency among the CEE region, therefore CZK crosses (HUF, PLN) could continue to reach new all time highs.
  • Governor Rusnok mentioned during the December press conference that Czech policy rate will reach or exceed 4% at the next meeting (Feb 3).

Source: Bloomberg

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