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EURHUF Reaches Record High Amid HUF Weakness

HUNGARY
  • Selling pressure on HUF remains elevated this morning, pushing the HUF reaching to a new all-time low against the Euro.
  • Weakening HUF puts NBH policymakers in a difficult position as it keeps supporting inflation expectations.
  • Last week, we saw that the NBH decided to lift its 1W deposit rate to 2.5% (vs. 2.1% for policy rate) as an attempt to limit the downside risk on HUF.
  • EURHUF has been retracing sharply higher in the past two days, gradually approaching its 370 level. Support to watch on the downside stands at 365, followed by 363.20.
  • Hungary 10Y yield consolidating higher in the past week, surging above the 4.10% level. Next key resistance to watch on the topside stands at 4.24%. On the downside, first support stands at 4%.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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