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MARKET INSIGHT
  • The Asia-Pac session has seen a continuation of the core FI sell-off with TYH2 breaking through the August 2019 lows before slowing at the June 2019 lows. In cash terms this has seen the 10-year UST yield move to the highest level since 2019, up 3.1bp since the close to 1.947%.
  • Bund futures have also hit their lowest levels since May 2019 overnight as Asian investors reacted to the moves seen in the European timezone yesterday. Lagarde said little new yesterday which helped Schatz and EGB peripherals move a little off their lows following the weekend comments from Knot. Lagarde pointed to a need for a "gradual" shift in policy settings, while stressing that the Bank wants to maintain its optionality.
  • There was also continued focus through the Asian session regarding the situation in Ukraine after Putin spoke with Macron which suggested some progress had been made.
  • Finally, there has been focus on a WSJ interview with ex-RBA board member John Edwards which suggests that the RBA could hike the cash rate to 1.0% by the end of 2022, with liftoff set to be implemented by August. The market is more aggressive than this, with a sell-side consensus starting to form around an August increase. Note he is a hawk, but his comments were enough to see the Antipodes as the outperformers in G10 space overnight.

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