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INDIA: Exit Polls Point Towards Modi's BJP Winning Delhi Election

INDIA
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Most exit polls released following the 5 February election to the Legislative Assembly of the National Capital Territory of Delhi shows Prime Minister Narendra Modi's right-wing Hindu nationalist Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and its allies in the National Democratic Alliance winning a majority. Despite garnering strong support in the capital in general elections, the BJP has not governed Delhi since being ousted by the centre-left Indian National Congress (INC) in 1998. 

  • Of the 12 opinion polls released so far, eight show the BJP winning a majority. Three show the incumbent anti-corruption welfarist Aam Aadani Party (AAP) winning a majority, while one shows a hung parliament.
  • For its part, the AAP has dismissed the exit polls highlighting that in both the 2015 and 2020 Delhi elections won by the AAP, exit polls consistently underestimated their seat totals while overestimating support for the BJP.
  • Results are due to be published on Saturday 8 February. Should the BJP win control of Delhi it would solidify a strong trend for the party, having won control of the states of Haryana and Maharashtra in October and November 2024 respectively. In turn, this bolsters the Modi gov'ts standing after its disappointing result in the 2024 general election in which the BJP lost its overall majority in the Lok Sabha. 
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Most exit polls released following the 5 February election to the Legislative Assembly of the National Capital Territory of Delhi shows Prime Minister Narendra Modi's right-wing Hindu nationalist Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and its allies in the National Democratic Alliance winning a majority. Despite garnering strong support in the capital in general elections, the BJP has not governed Delhi since being ousted by the centre-left Indian National Congress (INC) in 1998. 

  • Of the 12 opinion polls released so far, eight show the BJP winning a majority. Three show the incumbent anti-corruption welfarist Aam Aadani Party (AAP) winning a majority, while one shows a hung parliament.
  • For its part, the AAP has dismissed the exit polls highlighting that in both the 2015 and 2020 Delhi elections won by the AAP, exit polls consistently underestimated their seat totals while overestimating support for the BJP.
  • Results are due to be published on Saturday 8 February. Should the BJP win control of Delhi it would solidify a strong trend for the party, having won control of the states of Haryana and Maharashtra in October and November 2024 respectively. In turn, this bolsters the Modi gov'ts standing after its disappointing result in the 2024 general election in which the BJP lost its overall majority in the Lok Sabha.