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Eyeing Upside Test, with 20 & 50 Day EMAs Around 0.6150

NZD

NZD slid after the Asia close yesterday, finding new weekly lows to trade at 0.6080. However, this was quickly reversed as the DXY saw weakness on the back of lower US yields, NZD/USD erased the earlier move to trade back at daily highs and has remained in a 0.6130/0.6145 range for the second half of the Thursday trading day.
NZ January Consumer Confidence was released earlier 93.6 vs 93.1 prev, while Auckland average house price falls 8.3% M/M and Building approvals rose 3.7% M/M.

  • NZD/USD continues to be range bound, trading largely in a 0.6100/0.6150 range since Jan 16, we did briefly trade to 0.6080 overnight but were unable to hold, the 20 and 50-day EMAs are holding steady near 0.6150.
  • Focus today is likely to be on whether we can test higher. A lower US yield backdrop and higher US equities may aid broader risk appetite and boost the NZD.
  • AUD/NZD is trading close to 2024 lows, the pair sits near 1.07. A fresh break below this level could see Dec lows near 1.0655 targeted, while Oct lows rest at 1.0624. Australia has PPI out a bit later today
  • For NZ, the next major release is employment data, out next Wednesday.

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