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Fed's Bullard speaking at MNI event in Tokyo....>

FED
FED: Fed's Bullard speaking at MNI event in Tokyo
- Suggest Fed should be cautions to prevent yield curve inversion
- Sees policy as neutral and inflation expectations as low
- Hard to see much higher yields without higher inflation expectations
- Thinks Fed should "go with the data" rather than risk inverting the yield
curve (1y-10y)
- Fed hit inflation target in 1995-2012 period, but inflation expectations
lowered since then
- Thinks neutral rate likely to remain low
- Any adjustment to IOER / Fed Funds range seen as technical not policy
- No final decision on terminal size of balance sheet
- Inflation targeting itself may have reduced correlation between unemployment
and inflation

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