FED MINUTES: WANT FURTHER DISINFLATION BEFORE NEXT CUT

MNI China Daily Summary: Wednesday, February 19

MNI BRIEF: China Jan Utilised FDI Lower Than Last Year

MNI BRIEF: China Unveils Plan To Attract Foreign Investors

MNI BRIEF: China To Ensure Credit Supply For Private Companies

MNI BRIEF: China Bond Connect Holdings Down In January

MNI: US REDBOOK: FEB STORE SALES +5.8% V YR AGO MO

MNI: US JAN HOUSING STARTS 1.366M; PERMITS 1.483M

EZ/UK Bond Supply Calendar: IT Piu; SP, FR Due Thursday

GERMANY: Economy Ministry Lowers 2025 Growth Forecast As Expected

MNI EXCLUSIVE: EU-Mercosur Deal Close, But Likely Short-Lived - Officials

GERMANY: Kukies Considers Potential Non-Implementation Of 2024 Suppl' Budget

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STIR: Further Modestly Dovish Reaction To ISM Services Miss

STIR
BulletMarketsFixed Income BulletsForeign Exchange Bullets
  • Fed Funds implied rates have eased a little lower on the softer than expected ISM services report for January, currently 0.5-2.5bp lower, with some limit considering the large declines seen over the past two days.  
  • The ISM report included a firm pullback in the prices paid component but it followed an outsized increase in December (the survey estimate on Bloomberg only had three analysts) and as we note in our 1014ET bullet, adverse weather conditions were highlighted by many respondents.
  • Cumulative cuts from 4.33% effective: 5bp Mar, 12.5bp May, 23bp May, 30bp Jul and 50bp Dec. 
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  • Fed Funds implied rates have eased a little lower on the softer than expected ISM services report for January, currently 0.5-2.5bp lower, with some limit considering the large declines seen over the past two days.  
  • The ISM report included a firm pullback in the prices paid component but it followed an outsized increase in December (the survey estimate on Bloomberg only had three analysts) and as we note in our 1014ET bullet, adverse weather conditions were highlighted by many respondents.
  • Cumulative cuts from 4.33% effective: 5bp Mar, 12.5bp May, 23bp May, 30bp Jul and 50bp Dec. 
image