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Futures Eyeing August 6 Lows, Reasonable Demand At 10yr Auction
JGB futures sit at fresh lows back to early August. JBU4 last at 144.37, -.23 compared with settlement levels. This puts August 6 lows at 144.30 within sight.
- Whilst some negative spill over from core futures moves has likely been at play, JGBs have underperformed the more resilient tone seen in US Tsy futures. US Tsy yields re-opened higher, but have pared gains as the session progressed.
- Risk off has bene evident in FX, parts of equity and metals commodity space, but hasn't seen much follow through to JGBs.
- The 10yr auction saw solid enough demand as well, with a bid to cover ratio of 3.17, versus 2.975 at the auction in early August. The tail was also down to 0.09 versus 0.50 at the prior auction.
- In the cash cash JGB space, we are up more than 1bps across most of the benchmarks, except the longer end. The 10yr was last around 0.93%. The 10yr swap rate was close to 0.92%.
- Looking ahead we have the service and composite PMI final reads for August tomorrow. On the supply front, we have the 30yr debt auction on Thursday.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.