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Free AccessFutures lower despite Bank on hold
- Gilt futures are lower in spite of the BOE holding rates against market pricing of around 50/50 going into the decision.
- There has been a steepening of the curve with 2-year gilt yields higher on the day - but largely in line with where they were going into the decision, while 10-year yields are around 3bp higher post-decision at the time of writing.
- The lack of forward guidance means that November is still in play if we get some further upside surprises to the data - but we expect most analysts to think that we have seen the last hike now (and markets no longer fully price another hike).
- 10s30s had flattened around 0.8bp in the 15 minutes preceding the decision, but is now back to the levels it has been through most of the day.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.