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Gasoline Margins Narrow the Price Differential with Diesel

OIL PRODUCTS

Gasoline margins are narrowing the price differential with diesel as milder weather and weaker consumption weigh on middle distillates.

  • Mild weather has reduced the need for diesel in heating and power generation. Weak near term demand has weighed on the crack spreads although uncertainty remains over the demand recovery due to the China reopening. The future stance of China to domestic refinery activity and product exports remains unclear.
  • The latest IEA monthly oil report highlighted the impact on Russia’s product exports following the EU embargo and price cap will be a key factor when it comes to meeting that demand growth. The Russian sanctions could lead to lower fuel imports to the US East Coast.
  • IEA reported global refinery throughputs fell 730kb/d in January, with US activity still recovering from the outages during the December freeze. A further decline is expected in February on scheduled maintenance.
    • US 321 crack down -0.6$/bbl at 31$/bbl
    • US gasoline crack down -0.6$/bbl at 24.89$/bbl
    • US ULSD crack down -0.5$/bbl at 43.2$/bbl
    • EU Gasoline-Brent down -0.7$/bbl at 12.5$/bbl
    • EU Gasoil-Brent down -1.1$/bbl at 27.41$/bbl



Source: Bloomberg

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