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German Trade Rebounds Above Forecasts

GERMAN DATA
MNI (London)

GERMANY FEB IMPORTS +6.4% M/M, JAN -4.0% M/M

GERMANY FEB EXPORTS +4.5% M/M, JAN -3.0% M/M

FEB TRADE BALANCE SA 11.5BLN

  • Germany's trade data saw an upside surprise in February following a January slump caused by associated slowdown effects of the Omicron wave.
  • Both export/import and trade balance prints beat consensus forecasts.
  • Exports grew +6.4% m/m (+1.5% expected), almost 5pp above expectations and a solid 9.4pp rebound from January.
  • Imports expanded by +4.5% m/m in February (+1.0% expected), which is up 8.5pp from January.
  • The total trade balance for February came in at 11.5bln EUR, 1.5bln above the forecast.
  • February saw substantial reductions in trade with Russia due to sanctions imposed at the end of the month, although the March print will highlight the total extent of sanctions on trade between the countries.

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