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Free AccessGilts have traded fairly steadily......>
GILT SUMMARY: Gilts have traded fairly steadily since mid-morning after an early
sell-off, as no-deal Brexit risks were priced in.
- The Mar 19 Gilt future is down 27 ticks at 122.92, having traded in a range of
122.77-123.30 today.
- Some bear steepening seen in the curve, with 2-Yr yield up 2.3bps at 0.754%,
5-Yr up 3.5bps at 0.91%, 10-Yr up 3.6bps at 1.317%, 30-Yr up 0.3bps at 1.924%.
- Main theme has been no-deal Brexit risks diminishing, judging from both
financial and betting markets-see POV:MARKETS BETTING AGAINST BREXIT at 1008GMT.
- Futures markets now pricing in faster rate hikes between Jun19 and Jun20 in
the UK than Eurozone for the first time since the Italy crisis in the summer,
and to the greatest extent since mid-2017 (see POV above).
- Release of the government's legal advice didn't really move the needle. Still
just 7% chance of withdrawal deal passing on Dec 11 (per Betfair implied odds).
- Seemingly subdued trading day owing in large part to the US market's absence
on a day of mourning for former Pres GHW Bush.
- Thursday sees BoE's Ramsden speaking at 1000GMT.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.