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Remains Vulnerable

AUDUSD TECHS

Trend Needle Points North

US TSYS

Bonds Near Highs, Yield Curves Flatter

EURJPY TECHS

Bearish Outlook

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Global Data Calendar

--Rating: *** most market sensitive, * least market sensitive
Date   GMT /Local                                             Prior  Est.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
18-Dec 2350/0850 **  Nov    JP Trade balance                   +285 -56.5 b JPY
18-Dec 2350/0850 **  Nov    JP Trade balance y/y              -40.9    --   %
18-Dec 2350/0850 **  Nov    JP Exports y/y                    +14.0 +14.6   %
18-Dec 2350/0850 **  Nov    JP Imports y/y                    +18.9 +18.8   %
18-Dec 0800/0900 *   Q3     ES labour costs y/y wda             3.8    --   %
18-Dec 1000/1100 *** Nov    EU HICP (f) m/m                     0.1    --   %
18-Dec 1000/1100 *** Nov    EU HICP (f) y/y                     1.5   1.5   %
18-Dec 1100/1100 **         UK CBI order books balance           --    --
18-Dec 1100/1100 **         UK CBI price intentions balance      --    --
18-Dec 1330/0830 **  Dec    US NY Fed Business Leaders Index   18.9    --
18-Dec 1330/0830 *   Oct    CA Intl securities transactions    16.8    -- b CAD
18-Dec 1500/1000 **  Dec    US NAHB home builder index           70    --
19-Dec 0000/1300 *** Dec    NZ ANZ business confidence        -39.3    --
19-Dec 0000/1300 *** Dec    NZ ANZ activity outlook             6.5    --
19-Dec 0030/1130 *** Dec    AU RBA board meeting minutes         --    --
19-Dec 0645/0745 *          CH GDP forecast 2017                0.9    --   %
19-Dec 0645/0745 *          CH GDP forecast 2018                2.0    --   %
19-Dec 0900/1000 *** Dec    DE IFO Business Climate Index     117.5    --
19-Dec 1000/1100 *   Q3     EU labour costs y/y wda             1.8    --   %
19-Dec 1000/1100 **  Oct    EU construction prod m/m            0.1    --   %
19-Dec 1000/1100 **  Oct    EU construction prod y/y wda        3.1    --   %
19-Dec 1330/0830 *** Nov    US housing starts                  1.29 1.252 m 
19-Dec 1330/0830 *** Nov    US building permits               1.316 1.265 m 
19-Dec 1330/0830 *   Q3     US current account balance        -123.1-116.8b USD
19-Dec 1355/0855 **  16-Dec US Redbook retail sales m/m        -0.7    --   %
20-Dec 2145/1045 **  Nov    NZ Trade balance                     --    -- m NZD
20-Dec 2145/1045 *   Nov    NZ Net migration                     --    -- k 
20-Dec 2145/1045 **  Q3     NZ Current account balance           --    -- m NZD
20-Dec 2145/1045 **  Q3     NZ Curr acct balance % of GDP        --    --   %
20-Dec 2330/1030 *   Nov    AU Westpac-MI leading index          --    --
20-Dec 0700/0800 **  Nov    DE PPI m/m                          0.3    --   %
20-Dec 0700/0800 **  Nov    DE PPI y/y                          2.7    --   %
20-Dec 0900/1000 **  Oct    EU current account                 37.8    -- b E
20-Dec 0900/1000 **  Oct    EU current account nsa             41.8    -- b E
20-Dec 1100/1100 **         UK CBI sales reported balance        --    --
20-Dec 1100/1100 **         UK CBI sales expected balance        --    --
20-Dec 1200/0700 **  15-Dec US MBA Mortgage Applications       -2.3    --   %
20-Dec 1330/0830 **  Oct    CA Wholesale sales                 -1.2    --   %
20-Dec 1330/0830 *   Oct    CA Payroll employment             +23.8    -- k 
20-Dec 1330/0830 *   Oct    CA Average weekly earnings y/y     +3.1    --   %
20-Dec 1400/1500 **  Dec    BE BNB Business Sentiment           1.6    --
20-Dec 1500/1000 *** Nov    US existing home sales             5.48  5.51 m 
20-Dec 1530/1030 **  15-Dec US crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w    -5.1    -- m bbl
21-Dec 2145/1045 *** Q3     NZ GDP q/q                           --    --   %
21-Dec 2145/1045 *** Q3     NZ GDP y/y                           --    --   %
21-Dec 0001/0001 *   Dec    UK XpertHR median pay award 3m      2.0    --   %
21-Dec 0001/0001 **  Dec    UK Gfk Consumer Conf                 --    --
21-Dec 0745/0845 *   Dec    FR Services Sentiment             109.0    --
21-Dec 0745/0845 **  Dec    FR Manufacturing Sentiment        112.0    --
21-Dec 0745/0845 *   Dec    FR Business Climate Indicator     111.0    --
21-Dec 0800/0900 *   Oct    ES industrial orders y/y wda       14.9    --   %
21-Dec 0800/0900 *   Oct    ES services survey y/y              7.2    --   %
21-Dec 0930/0930 *** Nov    UK Central Govt Net Cash Requirmt    --    -- b GBP
21-Dec 0930/0930 *** Nov    UK Public Sector Net Borrowing       --    -- b GBP
21-Dec 1330/0830 **  16-Dec US jobless claims                   225   233 k 
21-Dec 1330/0830 *** Q3     US GDP (3rd)                        3.3   3.3   %
21-Dec 1330/0830 *** Q3     US GDP Price Index                  2.1   2.1   %
21-Dec 1330/0830 *** Nov    CA Headline CPI m/m                +0.1    --   %
21-Dec 1330/0830 *** Nov    CA Headline CPI y/y                +1.4    --   %
21-Dec 1330/0830 *** Oct    CA Retail sales                    +0.1    --   %
21-Dec 1330/0830 *** Oct    CA Retail sales ex autos           +0.3    --   %
21-Dec 1330/0830 **  Dec    US Philadelphia Fed Mfg Index      22.7  21.8
21-Dec 1400/0900 **  Oct    US FHFA Home Price Index            0.3    --   %
21-Dec 1445/0945 *   17-Dec US Bloomberg comfort index           --    --
21-Dec 1500/1000 **  Nov    US leading indicators               1.2   0.4   %
21-Dec 1500/1600 **  Dec    EU consumer confidence (p)          0.1    --
21-Dec 1530/1030 **  15-Dec US natural gas stocks w/w           -69    --   Bcf
21-Dec 2130/1630 **  20-Dec US Fed weekly securities holdings    --    -- t USD
22-Dec 0700/0800 *   Dec    DE GFK Consumer Climate            10.7    --
22-Dec 0700/0800 *   Oct    DE construction orders m/m          0.7    --   %
22-Dec 0700/0800 **  Nov    DE Import Price Index m/m           0.6    --   %
22-Dec 0700/0800 **  Nov    DE Import Price Index y/y           2.6    --   %
22-Dec 0700/0800 **  Nov    DE Export Price Index m/m           0.1    --   %
22-Dec 0700/0800 **  Nov    DE Export Price Index y/y           1.5    --   %
22-Dec 0745/0845 *** Q3     FR GDP (f) q/q                      0.5    --   %
22-Dec 0745/0845 *** Q3     FR GDP (f) y/y                      2.2    --   %
22-Dec 0745/0845 **  Nov    FR Consumer spending m/m           -1.9    --   %
22-Dec 0745/0845 **  Nov    FR Consumer Spending  y/y          -0.6    --   %
22-Dec 0745/0845 **  Nov    FR PPI m/m                          0.2    --   %
22-Dec 0745/0845 **  Nov    FR PPI y/y                          1.5    --   %
22-Dec 0800/0900 **  Nov    ES PPI m/m                          0.8    --   %
22-Dec 0800/0900 **  Nov    ES PPI y/y                          2.8    --   %
22-Dec 0800/0900 *   Dec    CH KOF Economic Barometer         110.3    --
22-Dec 0900/1000 *   Oct    IT industrial orders m/m           -3.9    --   %
22-Dec 0900/1000 *   Oct    IT industrial orders y/y nsa        4.5    --   %
22-Dec 0900/1000 **  Dec    IT ISTAT Consumer Confidence      114.3    --
22-Dec 0900/1000 **  Dec    IT ISTAT Business Confidence      108.8    --
22-Dec 0930/0930 **  Nov    UK Index of Services m/m             --    --   %
22-Dec 0930/0930 **  Nov    UK Index of Services 3m/3m           --    --   %
22-Dec 0930/0930 **  Q3     UK GDP (3rd)  q/q                    --    --   %
22-Dec 0930/0930 **  Q3     UK GDP (3rd)  y/y                    --    --   %
22-Dec 0930/0930 *          UK current account balance           --    -- b GBP
22-Dec 1330/0830 **  Nov    US durable goods new orders        -0.8   2.0   %
22-Dec 1330/0830 **  Nov    US durable new orders ex            0.9   0.5   %
                                 transport
22-Dec 1330/0830 **  Nov    US personal income                  0.4   0.4   %
22-Dec 1330/0830 **  Nov    US current dollar PCE               0.3   0.4   %
22-Dec 1330/0830 **  Nov    US total PCE price index            0.1    --   %
22-Dec 1330/0830 **  Nov    US core PCE price index             0.2   0.1   %
22-Dec 1330/0830 **  Dec    US Philadelphia Fed Nonmfg Index   19.3    --
22-Dec 1330/0830 *** Oct    CA GDP m/m                         +0.2    --   %
22-Dec 1500/1000 *** Nov    US new home sales                 0.685 0.660 m 
22-Dec 1500/1000 *   Nov    US bldg permits revision             --    -- m 
22-Dec 1500/1000 *** Dec    US Michigan sentiment index (f)    96.8  97.1
22-Dec 1500/1000 *   Nov    US BLS state payrolls             240.7    -- k 
22-Dec 1600/1100 **  Dec    US Kansas City Fed Mfg Index         16    --
22-Dec 1600/1100 **  Q4     US St. Louis Fed Real GDP Nowcast +2.96    --   %
22-Dec 1615/1115 **  Q4     US NY Fed GDP Nowcast               4.0    --   %
22-Dec 2000/1500 *   Dec    US Treasury Allotments (p)           --    -- b USD
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202-371-2121; email: holly.stokes@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]

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