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GoCs Ramp Up Bear Flattening After Modest Open

CANADA
  • GoC yields have surged higher with a delay after a modest open, driving a bear flattening with 2YY +5.5bps and 10YY +3.5bps. It pushes 2s5s and 2s10s back down to just above yesterday’s new post-1990 lows currently at -36bp and -41bp.
  • There has been alternating out/underperformance with Tsys in recent sessions (most recently lagging the sell-off on Tsy refunding) but ultimately Can-US yield differentials have narrowed further still over the past week, especially over the longer end, with the 2Y and 10Y differentials just +4bps and -5bps respectively.
  • No local data of note today sees drivers likely from the US docket with ISM Services plus finalised PMIs and factory orders plus a solid schedule of Fedspeak.

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