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Goldman Sachs Believe Data To Determine BCCh Easing Pace
- Despite not wanting to surprise markets, in practice, the BCCh Board has changed their guidance frequently throughout this cycle and been very sensitive to some macro data prints and changes in external conditions, according to Goldman Sachs. While it is clear that the MPC wants to continue with an aggressive easing cycle towards a neutral monetary policy stance, GS believe the pace of cuts going forward will depend on incoming data and global financial conditions.
- According to Goldman Sachs, they believe the BCCh minutes strengthen the unequivocally dovish tone conveyed in the post-meeting statement. The MPC assessed that the downward inflationary surprise in December—both in headline and core— was “important” and in its opinion the lower-than-expected CPI prints in recent months “raise questions about the level of the output gap.”
- The MPC hinted that the FX pass-through from recent depreciation of the peso could be weaker, in their assessment, given lower external prices, soft domestic demand, weakness in China, and the prospect that companies could accommodate higher import prices.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.