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Free AccessGoldman Sachs writes this.....>
GLOBAL MARKET/OPINION: Goldman Sachs writes this morning that we've moved into
the second phase of the rally in risk assets. The first was the leadership of
Growth and Defensive companies. Now the rally is "being driven by a sharp
rotation of leadership towards value and cyclicals...more typical of the kind of
rotation that is seen at bear market lows... [that generally] coincide with an
inflection point in growth momentum indicators".
- Other things they point to in terms of the move into the second phase include:
"weak balance sheet" stocks outperforming strong ones; small caps outperforming
large caps; Europe outperforming U.S.
- They note that "most periods of Cyclical and Value outperformance also
coincide with rising bond yields". GS rate strategists expect further rise in
yields and further curve steepening.
- Looking longer term, they don't see this rotation to be sustained "into a
major trend", "unless growth, bond yields and inflation expectations all rise in
a more meaningful way"...arguing the next cycle is likely to be long but weak.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.