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Henry Hub Gains on Higher LNG Flows and Falling Storage Surplus

NATGAS

US Henry Hub continues to see limited gains today after a rally yesterday following the smaller than expected build in US storage inventories and with higher LNG export supplies.

    • US Natgas NOV 23 up 0.7% at 3.19$/mmbtu
    • US Natgas APR 24 up 1.8% at 3.21$/mmbtu
    • US Natgas OCT 24 up 1.5% at 3.51$/mmbtu
  • The latest EIA weekly gas inventories for the week ending 29 Sep showed build of +86bcf compared to the five-year average for this time of year of +101bcf. The total US inventories surplus has closed slightly again this week but stocks are still above normal at 3,445bcf compared to the average of 3,243bcf.
  • Natural gas deliveries to US LNG export terminals have increased today up to 13.2bcf/d according to Bloomberg driven by an increase in supply to Sabine Pass and Freeport.
  • Domestic natural gas demand has fallen to 64.8bcf/d today according to Bloomberg but in line with the previous five year average for the time of year. The latest weather forecast has turned cooler since yesterday with above normal still holding on in the west but with temperatures below normal expected in eastern areas in the 8-14 day period according to NOAA.
  • US domestic natural gas production is holding steady around 101bcf/d according to Bloomberg and roughly in line with output seen this time last year.
  • Export flows to Mexico are almost unchanged today at 7.18bcf/d.


Source: Bloomberg

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