Free Trial

Holds Post-RBA Sell-Off Ahead Of Tomorrow’s RBA Gov Speech

AUSSIE BONDS

ACGBs (YM -7.0 & XM -6.5) are cheaper and trading near Sydney session lows, having moved within relatively narrow ranges. With a light domestic calendar, the local market has focused on the 2-5bp cheapening in US tsys during today’s Asia-Pacific session, following yesterday’s sharp sell-off.

  • After RBA Governor Bullock's press conference yesterday, the appearances of RBA staffers Hunter and Cassidy before the Senate Select Committee on the Cost of Living did not impact the market.
  • Cash ACGBs are 6bps cheaper on the day and 9-14bps cheaper than pre-RBA decision levels. The AU-US 10-year yield differential is flat at +17bps.
  • Today’s auction demonstrated solid pricing for ACGBs, with the weighted average yield coming in below prevailing mid-yields and the cover ratio increasing to 3.3813x.
  • Swap rates are 5-7bps higher.
  • The bills strip has bear-steepened, with pricing -2 to -10.
  • RBA-dated OIS pricing is 3-9bps firmer across meetings beyond September today, with mid-2025 leading. Today’s move leaves pricing 6-21bps firmer across meetings than pre-RBA levels. A cumulative 19bps of easing is priced by year-end versus 30bps before the RBA decision.
  • Tomorrow, the local calendar will see a speech by RBA Governor Bullock and Foreign Reserves data.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.