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HUNGARY: Nagy Hopes for Lower Rates, Next NBH Governor to Be Named Soon

HUNGARY
  • Hungary’s current key rate level is too high, Economy Minister Marton Nagy said in an interview with Hir TV. “We think that hopefully we can move lower from 6.5%,” adding that the current real interest rate over 3% is “not justifiable.” Regarding the next central bank Governor, Nagy said the next Chief will be revealed in the coming days by the Prime Minister, with cooperation between the government and the central bank set to be “stronger”.
  • As a reminder, Gyorgy Matolcsy’s term as central bank governor ends in March 2025. Prime Minister Orban has confirmed that a cabinet reshuffle will include merging the National Economy Ministry, currently led by Marton Nagy, and the Finance Ministry, currently led by Mihaly Varga, to create a 'super ministry' with a broader mandate. This will likely involve Finance Minister Varga succeeding Matolcsy at the helm of the central bank.
  • According to former NBH officials who have spoken to MNI, Varga’s leadership of the NBH is unlikely to be “radically different” (See MNI EM INTERVIEW: NBH to Hold Rates and MNI EM INTERVIEW: NBH to Choose Stability Over Cuts - Ex Gov Simor).
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  • Hungary’s current key rate level is too high, Economy Minister Marton Nagy said in an interview with Hir TV. “We think that hopefully we can move lower from 6.5%,” adding that the current real interest rate over 3% is “not justifiable.” Regarding the next central bank Governor, Nagy said the next Chief will be revealed in the coming days by the Prime Minister, with cooperation between the government and the central bank set to be “stronger”.
  • As a reminder, Gyorgy Matolcsy’s term as central bank governor ends in March 2025. Prime Minister Orban has confirmed that a cabinet reshuffle will include merging the National Economy Ministry, currently led by Marton Nagy, and the Finance Ministry, currently led by Mihaly Varga, to create a 'super ministry' with a broader mandate. This will likely involve Finance Minister Varga succeeding Matolcsy at the helm of the central bank.
  • According to former NBH officials who have spoken to MNI, Varga’s leadership of the NBH is unlikely to be “radically different” (See MNI EM INTERVIEW: NBH to Hold Rates and MNI EM INTERVIEW: NBH to Choose Stability Over Cuts - Ex Gov Simor).