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(U1) Holding Onto Gains


Lower And Through Support


Risk Appetite Resumes


In A Range

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Spot USD/IDR reopened on a softer footing, absorbing the impact of the greenback's sell-off seen after the closing bell on Monday. The rate has advanced since and last trades -10 figs at IDR14,418.

  • The rate is establishing itself above its 50-DMA and bulls look for a jump above May 3 high of IDR14,475, followed by Apr 28 high of IDR14,518. Conversely, a dip through the aforementioned 50-DMA at IDR14,386 would expose the 200-DMA at IDR14,357.
  • USD/IDR 1-month NDF last +7 figs at IDR14,472, with bulls looking for gains past yesterday's high of IDR14,578. Bears keep an eye on the nearby 50-DMA at IDR14,412.
  • The daily nationwide count of new Covid-19 infections rose to a record. The 14,536 cases detected on Monday pushed the total case count above 2mn. Econ Min Hartarto announced new restrictions in areas mostly affected by the virus, despite calls by exports to implement a wider lockdown.
  • Indonesian Trade Min Lufti said that the gov't is drafting rules which would lower the export levy on palm oil, while FinMin Indrawati noted that the maximum levy on the commodity will be cut to $175/ton from $255/ton. In Monday's interview with BBG, Lufti added that Indonesia's exports of crude palm oil and its derivatives may rise 9-10% this year. Palm oil futures slipped in Kuala Lumpur on Monday after the plan was revealed.
  • FinMin Indrawati told the regional representative council that the budget deficit was equivalent to IDR219.3tn or 1.32% of GDP as of May.
  • The Indonesian data docket is virtually empty this week.

Fig. 1: Indonesia Daily Confirmed Covid-19 Cases

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg