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Inflation Accelerates to 8.5% (vs. 8.8% exp.)

HUNGARY
  • Yesterday, the NBH decided to leave its 1W depo rate (effective rate) unchanged at 6.15% despite recent HUF weakness.
  • We have seen that the selling pressure on HUF has been rising this week following Orban’s victory over the weekend as market has been pricing in renewed political tensions with the EU in the near to medium term.
  • EURHUF found a local high at 382.10 yesterday before starting to consolidate lower and currently testing the 378 level. Next ST support to watch on the downside stands at 375.70.
  • This morning, economic data showed that inflation accelerated to 8.8% in March (from 8.3% the previous month), but came in below expectations (8.8%).
  • A potential launch of the European Union’s rule-of-law mechanism shouldn’t affect the approval of Hungary’s recovery and resilience plan, the Finance Ministry says in a statement (BBG).

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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