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JAPAN: Election Preview Published

JAPAN
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Japan holds a snap general election on Sunday 27 October with all 465 seats in the lower chamber of the National Diet, the House of Representatives, up for grabs. The contest comes as part of an effort by newly elected Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba to stamp his authority on the office and reinforce his position as president of the governing Liberal Democratic Party (LDP). Ishiba instructed the dissolution of the House of Representatives on 9 October, having succeeded the outgoing Fumio Kishida as LDP president on 27 September and PM on 1 October. 

In this Election Preview, we outline the electoral system for the House of Representatives and the main parties contesting the vote, put together a chartpack of relevant opinion polling and seat projections, and provide analysis of potential post-election scenarios with assigned probabilities. 

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Japan holds a snap general election on Sunday 27 October with all 465 seats in the lower chamber of the National Diet, the House of Representatives, up for grabs. The contest comes as part of an effort by newly elected Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba to stamp his authority on the office and reinforce his position as president of the governing Liberal Democratic Party (LDP). Ishiba instructed the dissolution of the House of Representatives on 9 October, having succeeded the outgoing Fumio Kishida as LDP president on 27 September and PM on 1 October. 

In this Election Preview, we outline the electoral system for the House of Representatives and the main parties contesting the vote, put together a chartpack of relevant opinion polling and seat projections, and provide analysis of potential post-election scenarios with assigned probabilities. 

Keep reading...Show less