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June Pricing Lifts A Touch Post Renewed Kashkari Comments

STIR
  • After a quick flick higher and then subsequent reversal on the Kashkari CNBC headlines, June pricing is again moving higher (he sees the decision as a close call after WSJ weekend comments seeing him open to skipping a hike in June but clearly not a pause).
  • Fed-dated OIS is now 1bp higher for June, at 5.13% implying 5bp of hikes but still down notably from the 8-9bp of hikes priced Friday prior to debt talk impasse headlines.
  • The Dec’23 sits +1bp on the day at 4.64% for 44bp of cuts from current levels by year-end.


FOMC-dated OIS implied June rateSource: Bloomberg

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