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Long Term Russia Oil Output Tested by Lack of High-Tech Services: Yakov

OIL

Russia’s long term oil production will be tested by the lack of high-tech services due to international sanctions according to consultant Yakov and Partners.

  • Exports have unexpectedly held steady since the EU ban and G7 price cap but they expect production will fall between 5% to 20% by 2030.
  • A 20% decline would equate to a drop to 409m tons, or about 8.2mbpd compared with about 11mbpd last month.
  • The departure of international companies reduces the ability to tap technically challenging resources the consultant report said.
  • Last year many international oil majors and services providers withdrew from Russian operations but to date there has been no visible impact on drilling with domestic firms filling the gap.
  • The share of hard-to-recover oil in total output will grow as traditional reserves become depleted. A greater number of wells will need to be drilled requiring an upgraded fleet of about 1,500 drilling rigs, of which 40% is seriously outdated.

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