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Looking At Dallas Fed Banking Conditions Survey For SLOOS Clues

US DATA

Ahead of today’s SLOOS at 1400ET, we take a closer look at the Dallas Fed’s Banking Conditions Survey.

  • It was released early last month but should cover a very similar period (Dec 19-27 vs the Jan’23 SLOOS held through Dec 19-Jan 6), i.e. a snapshot before last week’s NYCB’s concerns.
  • Credit standards tightened at a slower pace across all loan types, whilst loan demand declined at the slowest pace since the end of 2022. The decline in loan volume eased across all loan types, with the greatest stabilization in commercial real estate and consumer loans.
  • NPLs increased again, driven by consumer loans, but at a slightly slower pace than six weeks prior.
  • Forward-looking: Bankers were less pessimistic with smaller declines in future business activity and loan demand, but NPLs were seen increasing at a slightly faster rate over the next six months.

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