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Impulsive Rally Extends

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Late Eurodollar/SOFR/Treasury Option Roundup

EURJPY TECHS

Price Is Below The 50-Day EMA

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Looks Through ECB to Finish Flat

EURUSD TECHS
  • RES 4: 1.0494 Bull channel resistance drawn from the Feb 10 high
  • RES 3: 1.0449 High Jul 5
  • RES 2: 1.0359 Low Jun 15
  • RES 1: 1.0258 20-day EMA
  • PRICE: 1.0206 @ 16:02 BST Jul 21
  • SUP 1: 1.0120 Low Jul 19
  • SUP 2: 1.0064/0.9952 Low Jul 18 / 14
  • SUP 3: 0.9944 1.618 projection of the Jun 9 - 15 - 27 price swing
  • SUP 4: 0.9883 1.764 projection of the Jun 9 - 15 - 27 price swing

EURUSD’s brief post-ECB rally stalled and fully reversed into the Thursday close, putting the pair flat through the London fix. The 20-day EMA resistance at 1.0258 was pierced, but the lack of a clear break higher keeps the technical picture unchanged for now. This keeps attention on 1.0258, the 20-day EMA. A clear breach here strengthens bullish conditions and signal scope for an extension within the bear channel. The channel is drawn from the Feb 10 high. Initial support is at 1.0120, Tuesday’s intraday low.

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  • RES 4: 1.0494 Bull channel resistance drawn from the Feb 10 high
  • RES 3: 1.0449 High Jul 5
  • RES 2: 1.0359 Low Jun 15
  • RES 1: 1.0258 20-day EMA
  • PRICE: 1.0206 @ 16:02 BST Jul 21
  • SUP 1: 1.0120 Low Jul 19
  • SUP 2: 1.0064/0.9952 Low Jul 18 / 14
  • SUP 3: 0.9944 1.618 projection of the Jun 9 - 15 - 27 price swing
  • SUP 4: 0.9883 1.764 projection of the Jun 9 - 15 - 27 price swing

EURUSD’s brief post-ECB rally stalled and fully reversed into the Thursday close, putting the pair flat through the London fix. The 20-day EMA resistance at 1.0258 was pierced, but the lack of a clear break higher keeps the technical picture unchanged for now. This keeps attention on 1.0258, the 20-day EMA. A clear breach here strengthens bullish conditions and signal scope for an extension within the bear channel. The channel is drawn from the Feb 10 high. Initial support is at 1.0120, Tuesday’s intraday low.