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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessMNI ASIA OPEN: Nov Job Gains, Fed Blackout, CPI/PPI Ahead
MNI UST Issuance Deep Dive: Dec 2024
MNI US Employment Insight: Soft Enough To Keep Fed Cutting
MNI ASIA MARKETS ANALYSIS: Jobs Data Green Lights Rate Cuts
Market Roundup: Risk Appetite Returns After Strong Jobs Report
- Strong data makes 75bp hike at end of month all the more likely while markets got a little carried away pricing in small chance of 100bp hike (<5%) before moderating the move over the last hour (balance of White pack (EDZ2-EDH3 currently -0.065-0.070 vs. -0.100-0.170 lows)
- Technicals for TYU2: Treasuries continue to retreat and the contract is softer following today's NFP data. The current pullback is still considered corrective, as long as price is above to remain above support at 116-11, the Jun 28 low. A break of this support is required to strengthen a bearish threat and would signal scope for a deeper retracement. On the upside, a reversal higher would refocus attention on the short-term bull trigger at 120-16+, Wednesday’s high.
- Yield curves bear flattened but well off inverted lows, currently:
- 3M10Y +8.785, 112.633 (L: 101.91 / H: 114.57)
- 2Y10Y -0.088, -2.659 (L: -7.461 / H: -1.062)
- 2Y30Y -1.065, 15.364 (L: 8.284 / H: 18.625)
- 5Y30Y -0.432, 14.487 (L: 8.084 / H: 17.59)
- Cross asset: Crude and Gold prices have bounced off post data lows: WTO at 103.48 +.75 vs. 101.56L, Gold +7.15 at 1747.31 vs. 1743.22 low. Equities also bouncing: SPX emini futures ESU2 +7.5 at 3912.5.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.