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NATGAS: Mid-Day Gas Summary: TTF Eases Back

NATGAS

TTF front month has eased back from a high of €51/MWh last week amid a recovery in LNG supply. However, prices remain supported by cold weather in NW Europe and strong storage withdrawals after the halt to gas transit flows via Ukraine.

  • TTF FEB 25 down 3.2% at 48.05€/MWh
  • TTF Q1 25 down 0.3% at 47.73€/MWh
  • Temperatures in NW Europe are forecast to drift lower in the coming days and remain just below normal through mid-Jan.
  • Well above normal storage withdrawal rates since Dec. 25 weigh on overall stores taking current levels down to 70.33% full on Jan. 4, according to GIE, compared to the previous five-year average of 76.2%.
  • NW European LNG sendout was back up to 220mcm/d on Jan. 4 compared to average of 196mcm/d over the previous week.
  • Norwegian pipeline supplies to Europe are 335.8mcm/d today, according to Bloomberg. Gassco shows an increase in unavailable capacity in the coming days up to 36mcm/d of outages on Jan. 8.
  • The new US Plaquemines LNG export facility appears to have loaded its second LNG cargo on January 5, according to ICIS.
  • Indian Oil Corp. is seeking a term deal for 12 LNG cargoes a year for as much as 20 years from 2027 or 2028, according to Bloomberg sources.
  • PetroChina's customers are reselling surplus pipeline gas volumes under 2024-25 contracts due to weak downstream demand caused by warmer-than-expected winter.
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TTF front month has eased back from a high of €51/MWh last week amid a recovery in LNG supply. However, prices remain supported by cold weather in NW Europe and strong storage withdrawals after the halt to gas transit flows via Ukraine.

  • TTF FEB 25 down 3.2% at 48.05€/MWh
  • TTF Q1 25 down 0.3% at 47.73€/MWh
  • Temperatures in NW Europe are forecast to drift lower in the coming days and remain just below normal through mid-Jan.
  • Well above normal storage withdrawal rates since Dec. 25 weigh on overall stores taking current levels down to 70.33% full on Jan. 4, according to GIE, compared to the previous five-year average of 76.2%.
  • NW European LNG sendout was back up to 220mcm/d on Jan. 4 compared to average of 196mcm/d over the previous week.
  • Norwegian pipeline supplies to Europe are 335.8mcm/d today, according to Bloomberg. Gassco shows an increase in unavailable capacity in the coming days up to 36mcm/d of outages on Jan. 8.
  • The new US Plaquemines LNG export facility appears to have loaded its second LNG cargo on January 5, according to ICIS.
  • Indian Oil Corp. is seeking a term deal for 12 LNG cargoes a year for as much as 20 years from 2027 or 2028, according to Bloomberg sources.
  • PetroChina's customers are reselling surplus pipeline gas volumes under 2024-25 contracts due to weak downstream demand caused by warmer-than-expected winter.