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Mild Twist Flattening As 2s Maintain Post-CPI Reversal

US TSYS
  • Cash Tsys see a twist flattening, running 1bp cheaper to 1.5bp richer as spill over from weakness in Gilts kept any rally linked to dovish BoJ-speculation limited. 2 block sales in FV futures (for a total of ~6.5K lots) applied some light pressure to the belly in Asia-Pac hours.
  • The move sees 2YY yields close to yesterday’s high of 4.88% having breached pre-CPI levels of just over 4.85% prior to a miss sparked an ultimately 25bp rally over two days.
  • A near empty docket leaves flow/positioning in focus ahead of next week’s Fed, ECB and BoJ meetings.
  • 2YY +1.1bp at 4.850%, 5YY +0.2bp at 4.104%, 10YY -0.4bp at 3.847%, 30YY -1.3bp at 3.896%.
  • TYU3 trades in a particularly tight 00-6+ range, currently 112-05+ (+00-1) on particularly low volumes of just 195k despite a recent pick-up. It remains close to yesterday’s low of 112-00, an initial resistance point, after which lies 111-03+ (Jul 11 low).
  • No data.
  • No issuance.

Bloomberg

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