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MNI China Daily Summary: Thursday, August 15

MNI (London)
     EXCLUSIVE: U.S. President Donald Trump's delayed imposition of tariffs on a
range of China exports until mid-December is a bid to keep consumers onside
ahead of the busy holiday shopping period and not upset his 2020 re-election
campaign, China government advisors told MNI. By pushing back the introduction
of duties on cellphones, laptops and other consumer items, any adverse impact on
domestic shoppers before the Christmas seasons should be avoided, and Trump
could seek increased agricultural product exports to China in exchange, said Mei
Xinyu, a researcher at Chinese Academy of International Trade and Economic
Cooperation affiliated with the Ministry of Commerce.
     TRADE: The U.S. and China remain headed for a trade war that could a
trigger a global recession even after Donald Trump's delay of some tariffs,
because the move ignores the main fight around technology, a former Canadian
trade official told MNI. The tensions are already causing damage by forcing
companies to upend global supply chains and there's little clear evidence
Washington is chasing a breakthrough agreement that will significantly boost the
global economy, said Dan Ciuriak, a former deputy chief economist in Canada's
trade department. President Xi Jinping won't be able to match the success of
Canada and Mexico in turning Trump's threats around rigged trade into a new pact
because the U.S. sees China as a geopolitical threat, he said.
     DATA: The pace of residential property price gains in 70 large and medium
sized Chinese cities eased in July as local governments enacted policies to
stabilize the property market. The average price of new homes in 70 major
cities, excluding subsidized units, slowed for a third month to 10.1% y/y in
July from the previous 10.8% y/y growth, marking the smallest increase so far
this year.
     LIQUIDITY: The People's Bank of China (PBOC) injected CNY30 billion via
7-day reverse repos, adding liquidity for a fourth consecutive day. This
resulted in a net injection of CNY30 billion as no reverse repos matured,
according to Wind Information.
     The PBOC also injected CNY400 billion via one-year medium-term lending
facility (MLF) on the same day, according to a statement on its website. The
injection is CNY17 billion more than MLFs maturing today. This aims to offset
the tax season and the maturity of MLF, and keep the liquidity in the banking
system reasonable and ample, the PBOC said.
     RATES: The 7-day weighted average interbank repo rate for depository
institutions (DR007) fell to 2.6816% from 2.6965% on Wednesday, Wind Information
showed. The overnight repo average decreased to 2.6605% from 2.6911% yesterday.
     YUAN: The yuan weakened to 7.0300 against the dollar from Wednesday's close
of 7.0165. The PBOC set the dollar-yuan central parity rate lower at 7.0268,
compared with 7.0312 set on Wednesday.
     BONDS: The yield on 10-year China Government Bond was last at 3.0050%, down
from the close of 3.0100% on Wednesday, according to Wind Information.
     STOCKS: The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.25% to 2,815.80. Hong
Kong's Hang Seng Index increased 0.76% to 25,495.46.
     FROM THE PRESS: The U.S. threat to hike tariffs and its accusations that
China is a "currency manipulator" are without basis but have intensified global
market turmoil, People's Daily reported. Citing a number of experts, the
People's Daily report said China should focus on promoting reform and market
opening in its pursuit of high-quality economic development.
     China should increase counter-cyclical financial adjustments in the
following months, China Securities Journal reported. Citing Liu Xuezhi, a senior
researcher at the Financial Research Center of the Bank of Communications, the
Journal report said that while tax and fee cuts continued, fiscal pressure
should also be eased through collecting profits from local state-owned
enterprises. Monetary policy should be marginally relaxed along with targeted
cuts to the reserve requirement ratio, Liu said.
     The massive and rapid issuance of U.S. Treasury bonds cannot solve the
fundamental problems of the U.S. economy which is based on unsustainable levels
of debt, Economic Information Daily said in a front-page commentary. There was
less demand for T-bonds due to the lack of investment confidence overseas, the
commentary said. When the creditor country sells T-bonds to avoid risks this
would put greater pressure on bond issuance, the newspaper said.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: wanxia.lin@marketnews.com
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: M$A$$$,M$Q$$$,MBQ$$$]
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

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