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MNI China Daily Summary: Wednesday, August 15
TOP NEWS: China's economy appeared under pressure in July, as fixed-asset
investment fell to an historical low, despite the property market offering some
support. Infrastructure investment will be a key factor to gauge China's
economic growth for the remainder of this year. But current robust growth of the
property market may not be sustainable as the government stresses credit will
not be "pumped" into the sector.
DATA: The average new home price of 70 major Chinese cities accelerated
both on a monthly and yearly basis in July. The data, excluding subsidised
housing units, grew 1.2% month-on-month, up from the 1.1% gain in June, MNI
calculations show.
LIQUIDITY: The People's Bank of China (PBOC) injected CNY383 billion via
middle-term lending facility (MLF) loans, according to a statement on the PBOC's
website. A total of CNY336.5 billion MLF matured today. CFETS-ICAP's
money-market sentiment index closed at 34 on Tuesday, down from 40 on Monday.
MONEY MARKET RATES: The benchmark 7-day deposit repo average fell to
2.5681% on Wednesday from 2.5874% on Tuesday; Overnight average increased to
2.3318% from 2.3119% on Tuesday: Wind Information.
YUAN: The yuan weakened to 6.8900 against the U.S. dollar on Wednesday from
yesterday's 6.8830 closing, following today's weaker fixing. The PBOC set the
yuan central parity rate at 6.8856 on Wednesday, weaker than Tuesday's 6.8695.
The central bank has set the fixing weaker for five trading days in a row.
BONDS: The yield on benchmark 10-year China Government Bond was last at
3.5400%, down from the previous close of 3.5800%, according to Wind Information.
STOCKS: Shares in Shanghai continued to slide despite easing concerns about
the financial crisis in Turkey. Shanghai Composite Index closed 2.07% lower at
2,723.26, led by banking and insurance sector, marking the largest daily fall in
the past one month and half. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index decreased 1.60% to
27,308.32.
FROM THE PRESS: The PBOC should adjust market liquidity and exchange rate
formation mechanisms, and guide market expectations to manage large fluctuations
in the exchange rate, said Lian Ping, chief economist of Bank of Communications,
according to China Securities Journal. China should insist on the liberalisation
of the yuan to gradually strengthen the yuan's flexibility and achieve a
floating exchange rate system, Lian said, according to the newspaper. The
internationalisation of the yuan should rely on China's real economy rather than
on the currency's strength, in order to develop cross-border trades and foreign
direct investment, Lian added, according to the newspaper.
Ministry of Finance (MOF) urges local governments to accelerate their
issuing of special government bonds, Shanghai Securities News reported. An MOF
statement was released after infrastructure investment growth recorded a fall to
5.7% in Jan-July from 12.4% in Jan-April. The CNY1.35 trillion in additional
special government bonds this year will mainly be used on targeted poverty
alleviation, shantytown renovation and other projects in progress, the newspaper
said, citing Liu Wei, vice minister of the MOF. A pick-up in the pace of local
government bonds issuance will strengthen local governments' financing
capabilities, expand consumption, and lower financial risks, said Zhang Yiqun,
director of Institute of Fiscal Science of Jilin Province, according to the
newspaper.
The slowdown in China's consumption growth is inevitable considering
consumption upgrades and structural adjustments, as indicated by July's growth
coming in at 9.3%, unchanged from the first half of the year, 21st Century
Business Herald said in a commentary. China should not stimulate consumption
with short-term policies and distort the economic structure, the newspaper said.
To elevate consumption, China must lower housing costs to release room for
individual consumption, and must significantly lower taxes to increase
individual disposable income, the newspaper said.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: sherry.qin@marketnews.com
--MNI London Bureau; tel: +44 203-586-2225; email: les.commons@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: M$A$$$,M$Q$$$,MBQ$$$]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.