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MNI DATA ANALYSIS: Canada 2Q Capacity Util Rate Rises To 85.5%>

By Yali N'Diaye
     OTTAWA (MNI) - Canadian industries operated at 85.5% of their 
production capacity in the second quarter, up from 83.7% in the first 
quarter, Statistics Canada reported Wednesday. 
     Gains were widespread, led by oil and gas extraction and 
manufacturing. 
     Some changes in the methodology explained sharp revisions to the 
previous quarters through the beginning of 2017. The agency indeed 
incorporated capacity utilization data from the monthly manufacturing 
survey through the first quarter of 2017, making comparisons difficult. 
     As a result of such changes, the first quarter estimate was revised 
to 83.7% from 86.1%. 
     With this caveat in mind, the second quarter capacity utilization 
rate of 85.5% is the highest since the first quarter 2007. 
     The long-term average is 83.0%, with or without data points between 
the first quarter 2017 and the second quarter 2018. 
     --MANUFACTURING HIGHER 
     In the manufacturing sector, the capacity utilization rate rose 1.8 
percentage points to 81.8%. 
     The first quarter estimate was revised down to 80.0% from 86.1%. 
     The long-term average is 81.0%, and without the data between the 
first quarter 2017 and the second quarter 2018, it is 81.1%. 
     Looking at long-term averages and current capacity utilization 
rates, Wednesday's report supports the Bank of Canada's view that the 
Canadian economy is operating at its potential, which should support 
business investment ahead. 
     In the manufacturing sector, 16 of 21 industries recorded higher 
capacity utilization rates, led by durable manufacturing. 
     In particular, the capacity utilization rate increased 2.1 
percentage points to 80.6% in primary metal manufacturing. Higher 
exports of steel and aluminum increased in anticipation of U.S. tariffs 
in effect since the beginning of June. 
     --OIL AND GAS CONTRIBUTION 
     Oil and gas extraction explained a large part of the total 
increase, with a capacity utilization rate at 87.1%, up from 82.7% in 
the first quarter, when transportation issues had constrained capacity. 
As those improved in the second quarter and oil prices increased, 
production also rose. 
     The construction sector also operated at a higher rate of 93.0%, 
owing to stronger activity in both residential and non-residential 
building construction. 
--MNI Ottawa Bureau; email: yali.ndiaye@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MACDS$,M$C$$$]

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