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MNI DATA FORECASTS: Fed, BOE, UK CPI In Focus

Forecasts for data releases in the week commencing Sep 18

DateGMT/LocalImpactPeriodFlagCountryReleasePriorConsensus
18/09/20231215/0815**AugCACMHC Housing Starts255250 (k)
18/09/20231230/0830*AugCAIndustrial Product Prices m/m0.40.2%
18/09/20231230/0830*AugCARaw Material Prices m/m3.51.0%
18/09/20231400/1000**SepUSNAHB Home Builder Index50.050.0
18/09/20231530/1130*22-SepUSBid to Cover Ratio----
18/09/20231530/1130*22-SepUSBid to Cover Ratio----
18/09/20232000/1600**JulUSLong Term TICS Flows195.9--USD (b)
18/09/20232000/1600**JulUSNet TICS Flows147.8--USD (b)
19/09/20230800/1000**JulEUEZ Current Acc35.8--E (b)
19/09/20230900/1100***AugEUHICP (f) m/m-0.10.6%
19/09/20230900/1100***AugEUHICP (f) y/y5.35.3%
19/09/20230900/1100***AugEUHICP Core (f) m/m-0.1--%
19/09/20230900/1100***AugEUHICP Core (f) y/y5.55.3%
19/09/20230900/1000**22-SepUKBid to Cover Ratio----
19/09/20231230/0830***AugCAHeadline CPI m/m0.60.2%
19/09/20231230/0830***AugCAHeadline CPI y/y3.33.8%
19/09/20231230/0830***AugUSBuilding Permits1.4421.445 (m)
19/09/20231230/0830***AugUSBuilding Permits Revised1.441-- (m)
19/09/20231230/0830***AugUSCompletions1.321-- (m)
19/09/20231230/0830***AugUSCompletions Revised1.498-- (m)
19/09/20231230/0830***AugUSHousing Starts1.4521.44 (m)
19/09/20231230/0830***AugUSHousing Starts Revised1.398-- (m)
19/09/20231255/0855**16-SepUSRedbook Retail Sales y/y (month)4.3--%
19/09/20231255/0855**16-SepUSRedbook Retail Sales y/y (week)4.6--%
19/09/20231530/1130*22-SepUSBid to Cover Ratio----
19/09/20231700/1300**SepUSBid to Cover Ratio----
20/09/20232301/0001*AugUKXpertHR Median Pay Award 3m5.7--%
20/09/20230600/0800**AugDEPPI m/m-1.10.1%
20/09/20230600/0800**AugDEPPI y/y-6.0-12.8%
20/09/20230600/0700***AugUKCPI m/m-0.40.7%
20/09/20230600/0700***AugUKCPI y/y6.87.0%
20/09/20230600/0700***AugUKCore CPI y/y6.96.8%
20/09/20230600/0700***AugUKPPI Input y/y-3.3-2.6%
20/09/20230600/0700***AugUKPPI Output y/y-0.8-0.6%
20/09/20230600/0800**AugSEUnemployment Rate6.2--%
20/09/20230900/1100**JulEUConstruction Prod m/m-1.0--%
20/09/20230900/1100**JulEUConstruction Prod y/y WDA-0.3--%
20/09/20231100/0700**15-SepUSMBA Mortgage Applications w/w-0.8--%
20/09/20231430/1030**15-SepUSCrude Oil Stocks ex. SPR w/w3.953--bbl (m)
20/09/20231430/1030**15-SepUSDistillate Stocks w/w change3.931--bbl (m)
20/09/20231430/1030**15-SepUSGasoline Stocks w/w change5.561--bbl (m)
20/09/20231800/1400***USFederal Funds Rate Range Maximum5.505.50%
21/09/20230600/0700***AugUKCentral Govt Net Cash Requirmt9.983--GBP (b)
21/09/20230600/0700***AugUKPublic Sector Net Borrowing3.489.8GBP (b)
21/09/20230645/0845**SepFRManufacturing Sentiment96.095.0
21/09/20230645/0845*AugFRRetail Sales y/y-2.1--%
21/09/20230730/0930***Q3CHSNB Policy Rate1.752.00%
21/09/20230730/0930**SEInterest Rate3.754.00%
21/09/20230800/1000***NOInterest Rate Decision4.04.25%
21/09/20231100/1200***UKBank of England Bank Rate5.255.50%
21/09/20231230/0830***16-SepUSContinuing Claims1688-- (k)
21/09/20231230/0830***16-SepUSInitial Jobless Claims220-- (k)
21/09/20231230/0830***16-SepUSPrev Continuing Claims, Rev1684-- (k)
21/09/20231230/0830***16-SepUSPrev Initial Jobless Claims, Rev217-- (k)
21/09/20231230/0830**14-SepUSCorn Net Sales753.3--MT (k)
21/09/20231230/0830**14-SepUSCorn Weekly Exports726.0--MT (k)
21/09/20231230/0830**14-SepUSSoy Net Sales703.9--MT (k)
21/09/20231230/0830**14-SepUSSoy Weekly Exports408.4--MT (k)
21/09/20231230/0830**14-SepUSWheat Net Sales437.9--MT (k)
21/09/20231230/0830**14-SepUSWheat Weekly Exports411.3--MT (k)
21/09/20231230/0830**SepUSPhiladelphia Fed Mfg Index12.0-0.4
21/09/20231230/0830*Q2USCurrent Account Balance-219.3-219.8USD (b)
21/09/20231230/0830*Q2USU.S. Current Account Balance Revised-216.2--USD (b)
21/09/20231400/1000***AugUSExisting Home Sales4.074.10 (m)
21/09/20231400/1600**SepEUConsumer Confidence (p)-16.0-16.5
21/09/20231430/1030**15-SepUSNatural Gas Stocks w/w57.0--Bcf
21/09/20231700/1300**USBid to Cover Ratio----%
22/09/20232300/0900***AugAUJudo Bank Composite PMI (p)48.0--
22/09/20232300/0900***AugAUJudo Bank Manufacturing PMI (p)49.6--
22/09/20232300/0900***AugAUJudo Bank Services PMI (p)47.8--
22/09/20232301/0001**SepUKGfK Consumer Confidence-25.0-27.0
22/09/20230030/0930**SepJPJibun Bank Flash Composite PMI52.6--
22/09/20230030/0930**SepJPJibun Bank Flash Manufacturing PMI49.6--
22/09/20230030/0930**SepJPJibun Bank Flash Services PMI54.3--
22/09/20230200/1100***SepJPBOJ policy announcement-0.1-0.1%
22/09/20230600/0700***AugUKRetail Sales m/m-1.20.6%
22/09/20230600/0700***AugUKRetail Sales y/y-3.2-1.2%
22/09/20230600/0700***AugUKRetail Sales(ex-fuel) m/m-1.40.7%
22/09/20230600/0700***AugUKRetail Sales(ex-fuel) y/y-3.4-1.3%
22/09/20230700/0900***Q2ESGDP (f) q/q0.60.4%
22/09/20230700/0900***Q2ESGDP (f) y/y4.21.8%
22/09/20230715/0915**SepFRS&P Global Services PMI (p)46.046.0
22/09/20230715/0915**SepFRS&P Global Manufacturing PMI (p)46.046.3
22/09/20230730/0930**SepDES&P Global Services PMI (p)47.347.4
22/09/20230730/0930**SepDES&P Global Manufacturing PMI (p)39.139.5
22/09/20230800/1000**SepEUS&P Global Services PMI (p)47.947.8
22/09/20230800/1000**SepEUS&P Global Manufacturing PMI (p)43.544.0
22/09/20230800/1000**SepEUS&P Global Composite PMI (p)46.746.7
22/09/20230830/0930***SepUKS&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f)43.043.4
22/09/20230830/0930***SepUKS&P Global Services PMI (p)49.549.1
22/09/20230830/0930***SepUKS&P Global Composite PMI (p)48.648.8
22/09/20231000/1100**SepUKCBI Order Books Balance-15.0-18.0
22/09/20231000/1100**SepUKCBI Price Intentions Balance8.0--
22/09/20231230/0830**JulCARetail Sales (ex-autos) m/m-0.80.5%
22/09/20231230/0830**JulCARetail Sales m/m0.10.4%
22/09/20231345/0945***SepUSS&P Global Manufacturing PMI (p)47.947.9
22/09/20231345/0945***SepUSS&P Global Services Index (p)50.5--
25/09/20230700/0900**AugESPPI m/m----%
25/09/20230700/0900**AugESPPI y/y----%
25/09/20230800/1000***SepDEIFO Business Climate Index85.7--
25/09/20231000/1100**SepUKCBI Retail Sales Expected Balance-21.0--
25/09/20231000/1100**SepUKCBI Retail Sales Reported Balance-44.0--
25/09/20231300/1500**SepBEBNB Business Sentiment-14.9--
25/09/20231430/1030**SepUSDallas Fed manufacturing index----
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
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MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
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