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MNI DATA SURVEY: China August Economic Data Forecasts

MNI (Singapore)
     BEIJING (MNI) - All figures are y/y percentage changes unless otherwise
specified.
                     New Loans
              M2     (CNY Bln)        TSF    Output        Investment   Retail
                Aug          Aug  (CNY Bln)         Aug        Jan-Aug       Aug
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Median          8.5         1350       1225         6.0            5.5       8.8
High            9.3         1850       1600         6.5            7.3      10.5
Low             8.2         1000       1100         5.8            5.1       8.4
Mean            8.5         1354       1279         6.1            5.6       8.9
No.              15           14         10          16             15        16
Previous        8.5         1450       1040         6.0            5.5       8.8
Bank of
China           8.7         1200         na         6.5            5.8       8.7
Capital
Economics       8.6         1400     1100.0         5.9            5.1       8.7
CICC            8.2         1400       1100         6.0            5.5       8.8
CITIC Sec       8.4         1200         na         6.0            5.5       9.5
Everbright
Sec             8.5           na       1200         6.2             na       8.9
Haitong Sec      na           na         na          na             na        na
HSBC            8.5         1300       1250         6.3            5.6       8.9
Huachuang
Sec             8.4         1500         na         5.9            5.3       8.4
Huatai Sec      8.3         1500       1600         6.0            6.0       9.2
ING             8.3         1850       1140         6.2            6.0       8.9
Merchant Sec    9.3           na         na         6.3            7.3      10.5
Minsheng
Bank            8.5         1300       1200         5.9            5.5       8.8
Sealand Sec      na         1400         na         5.9            5.4       8.7
Shanghai Sec    8.6         1000         na         6.3            5.5       9.0
Shenwan
Hongyuan        8.6         1400       1400         5.8            5.4       8.8
Sino Link
Sec             8.4         1300       1400         5.9            5.3       8.7
Southwest
Sec             8.3         1200       1400         5.9            5.4       8.6
     Note: The survey median is compiled solely from the forecasts listed above
and is not intended to represent a market consensus.
     August money supply, bank loans and total social financing expected to be
released between September 10 and September 15. Date and time uncertain at
publication time.
     August industrial output, retail sales and YTD fixed-asset investment will
be released on September 14 at 1000 local/0300GMT.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; tel: +86 (10) 8532-5998; email: flora.guo@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAQDT$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$]

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