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MNI Europe Pi (Positioning Indicator): BTP Shorts Return

MNI Europe Pi (Positioning Indicator): BTP Shorts Return

MNI Europe Pi (Positioning Indicator): BTP Shorts Return

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY:

  • Since our last update in mid-July, BTP positioning has moved increasingly short.
  • There has also been a shift toward shorts in the German front-end vs longs further down the curve.

Full PDF Analysis:

MNIPi08Aug2022.pdf

  • GERMANY: Positioning in the German curve increasingly points in a flattening direction. Schatz and Bobl remain in short territory (Schatz had been "very short" in our last update). But conversely, Bund and Buxl positioning is long (Buxl had previously been long, Bund was already long). Last week saw longs reduced in each contract, with Buxl (short setting) the exception.
  • OAT: Positioning remains flat for the second consecutive update. Last week saw a reduction in longs.
  • GILT: Positioning remains short, where it has been since mid-June. Last week saw further shorts set.
  • BTP: Structural positioning has moved from flat (where it had been from mid-June to late July) to back to short. Some short covering was seen last week though.



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