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Free AccessMNI INTERVIEW2: China Should Ease Online Lending Rules-Advisor
--Banks Should Sacrifice Some Profits to Protect Micro Businesses
--Debt/GDP Ratio Should Be Raised Significantly
--Part 2 of interview with State Council Advisor
BEIJING (MNI) - Chinese monetary policymakers are likely to take a cautious
approach towards cutting the benchmark deposit rate to avert any rush to riskier
savings products, but should push for banks to boost lending and relax controls
on online providers of micro-finance, a counsellor at the State Council told
MNI.
The People's Bank of China could further cut benchmark lending rates as
well as banks' reserve requirement ratios, Tang Min, an economist at the
advisory body inside Premier Li Keqiang's cabinet, said. But a reduction in
deposit rates could drain banks' saving pool, he said, in an interview in which
he also anticipated a stable yuan this year.
Reducing banks' profits from holding the deposit rate steady while lending
rates are falling is a price worth paying, Tang said, pointing to Chinese
lenders' higher margins relative to their overseas peers and other domestic
businesses.
The authorities should also focus on using microfinance tools to
immediately boost lending to entrepreneurs and micro businesses, which are key
to sustaining employment but often have little access to traditional bank
credit, Tang said. Regulators could loosen restrictions on online-based lenders
such as MY Bank and We Bank, run by Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. and Tencent
Holdings Ltd. respectively, as their low cost structure and rich data bases make
them ideal sources of micro loans, he added.
--HELP FOR SMALL BUSINESSES
The self-employed account for about 110 million urban jobs out of the total
400 million. In 2018, smaller companies created all net new jobs nationwide,
Tang said, arguing that measures to boost bank lending will not be enough to
help such firms and calling for China to lead the world in encouraging
online-based small business loans.
MYBank, owned by e-commerce giant Alibaba, has lent 24 million clients an
average CNY30,000 over the past five years, with a bad loan rate of only about
1%, he said. The company provides easily accessible credit to small business and
rural customers with the help of AI and big-data technology.
Policymakers could ease restrictions on the expansion of online lenders, as
well as encourage traditional banks to cooperate with them by providing funding,
Tang said.
China's ceiling for its fiscal deficit/GDP ratio should be raised
significantly from 2.8% last year given the resources required to fight the
pandemic and revive growth, Tang said. Issuance of much-anticipated special
treasury bills will bolster employment and people's livelihoods, as well as
support hi-tech infrastructure projects, he said.
Both government and corporate sectors will have to take on more leverage,
given the need to keep the economy intact, Tang said, noting that China's
government bonds remain attractive to domestic investors.
China will be likely to keep the yuan stable as too much strength pressures
exports while weakness hurts the currency's international standing. "There is
little chance of significant volatility in the yuan this year" given that
China's economy has proven more resilient than elsewhere, he said.
But authorities should remain vigilant to the risks of volatile capital
flows during a period of global market turmoil, with Tang noting that they had
had sufficient tools to keep these under control including QFII and QDII.
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 10 8532 5998; email: william.bi@mni-news.com
--MNI Beijing Bureau; +86 (10) 8532 5998; email: marissa.wang@marketnews.com
--MNI London Bureau; +44 203 865 3829; email: jason.webb@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MMQPB$,M$A$$$,M$Q$$$,MC$$$$,MI$$$$,MT$$$$,MX$$$$,MGQ$$$]
To read the full story
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Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.