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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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- Soft GDP & retail sales data triggered fresh calls for RBA rate cuts,
promoting flattening across the IR strip. The latest round of economic data
resulted in J.P.Morgan & UBS changing their RBA calls, with both now looking for
the RBA to cut rates in July & August 2019. Nomura had already shifted their
call to July & August rate cuts on Monday. Elsewhere NAB & Macquarie now look
for 2 cuts through the remainder 2019. Markets price a ~75% chance of at least
one RBA rate cut by year end, based on interpolated swaps.
- The RBA's latest MonPol decision was largely ignored, with the Bank continuing
to look to the strength of the domestic labour market, which seemingly provides
its only source of solace at present. A subsequent speech from RBA Governor Lowe
saw him note that it is hard to see a situation where rates would rise in 2019.
- February's labour market report will be subject to increased scrutiny, and
while one report is unlikely to force the RBA's hand, the trends in both hard
labour market data & vacancy measures will draw even more interest among RBA
watchers, as well as within 65 Martin Place itself.
To read the full story
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.